A debate may exist when different parties have different views on a given subject.
A debate will never exist if a dominant party imposes its views to all other ones.
The climate debate begins with the anthropogenic global warming theory (AGW) that is based on four assertions:
- global warming is taking place,
- emissions of carbon dioxide and other GHGs explain it,
- their increased concentration in the atmosphere is overwhelmingly caused by human activities,
- the consequences can only be harmful, especially for the poorest.
The AGW opens the way to make dire forecasts for an uncertain future:
- On going rise of the temperature.
For any doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration IPCC indicates in its 5th report. “Equilibrium climate sensitivity is likely in the range 1.5°C to 4.5°C (high confidence), extremely unlikely less than 1°C (high confidence), and very unlikely greater than 6°C (medium confidence).”
Note here that the heat balance approach taken in model calculations results in a sensitivity of 0.4 to 0.8 °C, all feedbacks uncertainties taken into account as published by IPCC.
As we shall see on this site, my heresy is not to accept the exaggerated IPCC pseudo-consensus. - Global climate changes are capable of reaching a tipping, irreversible point.
- Shifts in the conditions for life on Earth:
- weather: on-going conditions (temperature);
- more frequent catastrophic events (hurricanes, tornadoes, heat waves, heavy rain spells);
- ice and permafrost melting in the poles and in the mountains;
- migration of animal and plant species;
- loss of biodiversity, extinction of sensitive species;
- acidification of the seas.
- Catastrophic impact on large population groups:
- rise of the sea level, loss of land;
- increase frequency and intensity of natural catastrophes;
- disturbed fresh water supply;
- droughts and floods leading to crop losses.
- Social unrests resulting from all the above, and large emigration streams of people looking for a safe harbour.
After more than thirty years, and despite claims of a scientific consensus, the case is far from being closed.
These peremptory and unfounded statements must be refuted point by point.