- The global climate system is stable and slow.
- Climate change is underway.
Warming since the beginning of the industrial era: 0.8 - 1 °C
on average: 0.5 °C per century, with accelerations and decelerations over a 60-year cycle. - Only a portion of the warming can be attributed to GHGs, including CO2.
The rest must be explained by the continuation of the exit of the little ice age and by other mechanisms, natural or artificial. - Anthropogenic GHG emissions are real.
~45% of the CO2 emitted accumulates in the atmosphere and the rest is sequestered in biomass and in the oceans. - General circulation models have not been validated; there is no confidence in any projection made with them.
- We need centuries of observation to understand climate variations.
No modelling can accelerate this knowledge.
CO2 is a modest cause of a poorly defined problem
whose reduction contributes little or nothing to its improbable solution.